ICT Homework Thread July 20th - 25th

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Btw, whenever ICT gets it up on YouTube, the Live Session was more or less ICT talking to a Chart for an hour, then a few questions he answered about the Charts. Was odd sitting in it and watching, haha.
 
the golden gun said:
significant price action developing. it is subtle, but cable breaks its bearish market structure, while its sister pair fiber is suppressed.

too early to carve out a setup based on this, but this is the type of thing that draws my attention to a pair.
What I think will happen with GU is the classic LO Sell model.
The green rectangle is the 15M order block

First take out the asian session low (and possibly the CDR low @ 1.6938), next to 1.696[0|5] ( give or take a few pips) to take out the NY session high of yesterday and STD2, and then down we go.
 

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Hopiplaka said:
First take out the asian session low (and possibly the CDR low @ 1.6938), next to 1.696[0|5] ( give or take a few pips) to take out the NY session high of yesterday and STD2, and then down we go.

Looking good so far....

The Asia session high was the first OTE of the day. I hope your plan keeps working out. :)
 

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AusDoc said:
Looking good so far....

The Asia session high was the first OTE of the day. I hope your plan keeps working out. :)
I think this is the ORO pattern. In Xmas 2012 ICT did a series of video's targetting specific setups. The ORO (overlapping reflection in ote ???) was also on the list, but it never came out.

But as I understand it, it is a OTE like you see and then a reflection pattern.
If you create a reflection from the asian high (put the 61.8% on it) to the low just made, the 100% comes in at 1.6965.
Clean out NY high, and a swing low in LO
 
Hopiplaka said:
But as I understand it, it is a OTE like you see and then a reflection pattern.
If you create a reflection from the asian high (put the 61.8% on it) to the low just made, the 100% comes in at 1.6965.
Clean out NY high, and a swing low in LO

Ah yes, I see it. Thanks Hopi, I have never seen a reflection setup before. :)
 
AusDoc said:
Ah yes, I see it. Thanks Hopi, I have never seen a reflection setup before. :)

the Reflection Patterm is just the 1.41 extension ie (re the reciprocal of the ote 1/0.705)

the easiest way to id it, imho, to recode the fib tool or indicator to display the 1.41, as well as the 127 162 and 200. Never could understand the reason why ICT goes to the trouble of moving the fib tool on the ote to id the Reflection Pattern.
 
rod178 said:
the Reflection Patterm is just the 1.41 extension ie (re the reciprocal of the ote 1/0.705)

the easiest way to id it, imho, to recode the fib tool or indicator to display the 1.41, as well as the 127 162 and 200. Never could understand the reason why ICT goes to the trouble of moving the fib tool on the ote to id the Reflection Pattern.
Yes, I do have them on my fib like that.
I have a reflection pattern for 61.8/70.5 and 79

Take Profit levels
TP1: -0.27
TP2: -0.618
FTP (Final take profit): -1

Reflection levels
R0: 2
R1: 1.6181
R2: 1.4182
R3: 1.2658
 
Yep, that seems to be the sensible way to do it guys.

At least Hopi has explained what he is doing with his Fib tool manoeuvring and the more straight forward tool setting makes it a snap to just read. Would now like to know a bit more.

Is there a rationale that even I could understand? What's it all about, maybe in ICT's terms or just English? I confess that any time I heard him mention the ICT reflection pattern, either prior understanding was expected and he didn't explain it, or I just couldn't grasp what it was all about.
 
just a (more) probable point of price exhaustion/extension, just as the 70.5 OTE is a (more) probable point of price retracement. Either, in the right context, can be used as a point entry or exit, with some other confluence(s)
 
rod178 said:
just a (more) probable point of price exhaustion/extension, just as the 70.5 OTE is a (more) probable point of price retracement. Either, in the right context, can be used as a point entry or exit, with some other confluence(s)

Succinct and effective. Many thanks Rod.
 
There is an example on today's Cable

pull a fib from yesterday's low to today's high (CDR high) before the Asian Range

the 1.41 is the AR high. It then ran out of steam and dropped to one deviation below the CDR low.

I'm now wondering whether or not a short continuation at the CDR high/70.5 fib (just under 16950) is worth a punt. Lots of News today to push price around.
 
AusDoc said:
Succinct and effective. Many thanks Rod.
I often use it to find the confluence of a Key SR level and the Judas swing.
See yesterdays short, which was the reflection pattern aka Judas swing into a KSR
 

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Hopiplaka said:
I often use it to find the confluence of a Key SR level and the Judas swing.
See yesterdays short, which was the reflection pattern aka Judas swing into a KSR

Good application. Great illustration! Thanks Hopi.
 
rod178 said:
There is an example on today's Cable

pull a fib from yesterday's low to today's high (CDR high) before the Asian Range

the 1.41 is the AR high. It then ran out of steam and dropped to one deviation below the CDR low.

I'm now wondering whether or not a short continuation at the CDR high/70.5 fib (just under 16950) is worth a punt. Lots of News today to push price around.

Ah, a reflection!? The 142 (rounded for label) identifies the OTE entry today and the target level.
 

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Hey rod178, your mini lesson on recriprocated OTE does make way way more sense than how ICT used to demonstrate it. I've always used the 1.27 & 1.62 extensions, with the little bit of understanding that 1.27 is the square root of 1.62. I thought that was all there was to it though.

But really the 3 belong in a set, just like the OTE levels 0.618, 0.702, and 0.786

You kind of blew my mind cause now I realize the math behind it:

1/0.618 = 1.618
1/0.702 = 1.425
1/0.786 = 1.272

:cheers:
 
the golden gun said:
Hey rod178, your mini lesson on recriprocated OTE does make way way more sense than how ICT used to demonstrate it. I've always used the 1.27 & 1.62 extensions, with the little bit of understanding that 1.27 is the square root of 1.62. I thought that was all there was to it though.

But really the 3 belong in a set, just like the OTE levels 0.618, 0.702, and 0.786

You kind of blew my mind cause now I realize the math behind it:

1/0.618 = 1.618
1/0.702 = 1.425
1/0.786 = 1.272

:cheers:
Hi Golden Gun,

I think you mean 0.705 instead of 0.702? Which brings the second reflection to 1.4182?
 
AusDoc said:
Ah, a reflection!? The 142 (rounded for label) identifies the OTE entry today and the target level.
There is also a reflection from the low of yesterday to asian range high. 200% came to 1.6912 = STD3 level = Support line
 
The 70.5, as proposed by ICT is not a real fib number, well not unless one derives it via some convoluted 'suspect' math.

ICT, from memory, is the only, at least most prominent, proponent. It was derived from the Einstein like math (62+79)/2

I use it because it seems predictive under the "right" circumstances., which I suspect is the only reason that ICT sometimes uses it, although he now seems to place more emphasis on 'Order Blocks", which was not the case in his very early material. Ditto the 1.42
 
The "ICT Reflection" pattern is so named by ICT because he first saw it in the glass plate on his A/V system, in a Corn chart. ICT likes his straight-forward names. ;)

As for how the pattern works, it's a combination of a few things for what is happening on the technical side of things, at least on the higher time frame side of things. On the lower time frames, it simply falls within the extension frame of the 1.27 and 1.62 extension. Which is where the 70.5 OTE comes about. As ICT started explaining back in March, Order Blocks are actually what you're looking for in the OTE Range. They're what the pair will actually respond off, as a functional Retrace. The "box" from 62 to 79 is simply to guide your eyes.

ICT likes to use the 70.5 when he's taking a Long Intra-Day. He keeps his order a little above, so it's a 79% retracement he's starting, the 70.5 is simply a quick & dirty entry marker. It also served as a teaching tool to get his followers to slowly "see" the Order Blocks. Which actually didn't work so well, which is why the advanced teachings came about. So it's not actually from Natural Systems study, where the "normal" Fib levels are from, it's a practical utility of the important levels.

But, Order Blocks always trump for analysis, which is trumped by S&R.

ICT does use all of the potential levels for looking for ICT Reflection patterns. It's not just the inverse of the 70.5. He calls an inverted 62 the "Voodoo" extension. If you hit that one at a Key level, you're pretty much catching a Swing point within a few pips. It's quite freaky. :)
 
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