Scout Sniper Basic Field Guide - InnerCircleTrader

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walshman said:
I'm in. Would love to see it :thumbsup:
Any thoughts on AUD/NZD? Judas swing or reversal? :-\

Yea, its definitely approaching key levels, if Kiwi is over valued as some analysts are talking about, then there could be a reversal around the corner, i would wait for a bullish cycle before i jumped in though...
 
Peterma said:
Great action today on fibre - I see that the pesky line is now dust (at last).

Chris Lori's market 'inefficiencies' and ICT's swing point and ote area now spring to mind when looking at the 1hr. - but that's for a different day.

Well I guess that the particular 'inefficiency' of 2 days ago has now been made 'efficient'.

ICT's ote on the daily is of interest - probably down on Mon AS after reaching 3570 (underside of that pesky line again) then a push for 3650 - then in ote territory.

Did the banks liquidate on the rumours of negative rates? - nope, they just bought up more of the cheaper prices - it's what they do.
Did the banks create the rumours? - they did not need to, the notion of negative rates was already out there, they just used it to their advantage - it's what they do.

I suppose the only thing different now is that the banks' averaged in price is lower, so not really needed to push price up as high - but then again greed could come into play.

Btw, as ICT teaches, Tue/Wed are the important days.
Could be a great week next week - good luck to all.
 
added some clarification to the previous chart...
 

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GdayFx said:
if Kiwi is over valued as some analysts are talking about........

no such thing as overvalued......
analyst's are paid pencil pushers who don't have a nickel on the line and know jack about the game.

s
 
shopster said:
no such thing as overvalued......
analyst's are paid pencil pushers who don't have a nickel on the line and know jack about the game.

s
They certainly don't tell you when to pull the trigger, do they mate...
 
Producing a video on Aussie, how to identify sell set ups, using high time frame price levels and trend lines, once broken... corrections then resume main trend bias

& a bit of EURUSD, whats happening now
 
So bit confused on EURUSD, bias is sell (9 below 18) however short term market structure is broken to the upside (on daily) and bullish on all TF. Guess this means sit on my hands until it becomes clearer.

Retail traders are short (74%) which is a contra indicator, commercials are slightly net long but could also be volume already going down towards the end of the year.

ICT tells in video not to go bottom or top picking but would be nice to have some sort of indication of tops/botoms in.

Any views?
 
Tarri said:
So bit confused on EURUSD, bias is sell (9 below 18) however short term market structure is broken to the upside (on daily) and bullish on all TF. Guess this means sit on my hands until it becomes clearer.

Retail traders are short (74%) which is a contra indicator, commercials are slightly net long but could also be volume already going down towards the end of the year.

ICT tells in video not to go bottom or top picking but would be nice to have some sort of indication of tops/botoms in.

Any views?

Major structure's not broken. But if you look at around the 1.3400 look at how strong that level is, despite the slip above and below on the daily. 70% retail can be short but you only want to get in on that when they have the most to lose. Look at the COT as well we're pretty much even steven's for long and shorts. Just wait and look at bonds as well but keep in mind we are dipping into the Xmas season and this is Typically see some lazy moves possibly driven by retail sometimes.
 
AUDJPY buy signal today been and gone.... area of confluence High time frame chart, down to M15 chart...
 

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Tarri said:
So bit confused on EURUSD, bias is sell (9 below 18) however short term market structure is broken to the upside (on daily) and bullish on all TF. Guess this means sit on my hands until it becomes clearer.

Retail traders are short (74%) which is a contra indicator, commercials are slightly net long but could also be volume already going down towards the end of the year.

ICT tells in video not to go bottom or top picking but would be nice to have some sort of indication of tops/botoms in.

Any views?

Daily chart, Nov 21 price 3391 - daily bars each side with higher lows. ( I would have liked to have seen the high of the right bar (3356) pierced, but that may come tomorrow).

Run a fib from Fri low to Fri high - check for ote level on that .....3490

Check pivot s1 .... 3490

Low of today .... 3490


Many retail going short because of the stubbornness of 3550-60

weekly pp at 3508 - so I went long there.

Could be an iffy trade - important to stay above today's low during AS and then LO tomorrow - if the trade survives that then all is well for a tp around 3645 (the 100 extn of the fib and a s/r level that I've been looking at as a 'reaching to' level)

On a h4 chart draw a horiz line here to see why.

The danger with this trade are the Asian stops below 3460 - they have to be tempting.
 
Hi Tansen,

when you say the major structure is not broken you mean we did not take out the ITH at 1.382?
Other than that one all are broken from what I can see. One positive day and 9 will be above 18 as well. It looks like we'll get a retest of the high, confirmation will be breaking the monthly open around 1.358, if it reverses there we'll head lower. Before that the 1.3550 will be key.

So looking ahead if we have an upmove to 1.355 during LO I will be looking for either a reversal (turnaround tuesday) or a break of 1.358 during NYO. This will determine the bearish/bullish outlook for the rest of the week/month.
 
Peterma said:
Daily chart, Nov 21 price 3391 - daily bars each side with higher lows. ( I would have liked to have seen the high of the right bar (3356) pierced, but that may come tomorrow).

Run a fib from Fri low to Fri high - check for ote level on that .....3490

Check pivot s1 .... 3490

Low of today .... 3490


Many retail going short because of the stubbornness of 3550-60

weekly pp at 3508 - so I went long there.

Could be an iffy trade - important to stay above today's low during AS and then LO tomorrow - if the trade survives that then all is well for a tp around 3645 (the 100 extn of the fib and a s/r level that I've been looking at as a 'reaching to' level)

On a h4 chart draw a horiz line here to see why.

The danger with this trade are the Asian stops below 3460 - they have to be tempting.

Hi Peterma,

thanks, I think tomorrow will be the deciding factor what way it is going to go for the rest of the week and will be looking with interest at LO. I think price will neatly consolidate in the 1.3510 - 20 range during AS, we'll see.
 
Watching the 1.35040 level for a long.

Price traded into that level which was previouss weekly high and bounced off it.

watching LO for a retest as it coincides with hourly OTE + pivot sell zone and hourly order block, note the shift in ST market structure as it broke past yesterday's NY session highs.
and the bullish market flow/momentum.will be targetting the 1.3680 OTE zone as i believe its still trading within this larger price swing (1.330 - 1.3840)
 

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and heres the setup im watching on the cable on the daily time frame.

daily order block + previous S/R and potential of stops targetting above the 1.6240 level.

only thig preventing me from liking it is the bearish market structure :/
 

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that 1.3520 level was something else earlier today. The Daily Pivots (GMT and NY) are there as well. Was hoping to get long at 1.3513 but I guess the 3520 institutional level should have been the real target.
 
Tarri said:
Hi Tansen,

when you say the major structure is not broken you mean we did not take out the ITH at 1.382?
Other than that one all are broken from what I can see. One positive day and 9 will be above 18 as well. It looks like we'll get a retest of the high, confirmation will be breaking the monthly open around 1.358, if it reverses there we'll head lower. Before that the 1.3550 will be key.

So looking ahead if we have an upmove to 1.355 during LO I will be looking for either a reversal (turnaround tuesday) or a break of 1.358 during NYO. This will determine the bearish/bullish outlook for the rest of the week/month.

I was talking about major bear structure @ 1.31~ also I liked the short, but not so much any more now
 
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